USING THE METHODS OF CONCLUSIVE MEDICINE FOR EVALUATING OF BRONCHIAL ASTHMA RISK AT YOUNG CHILDREN

Zaitseva O.V., Sharov V.F.

Russian State Medical University, Moscow, Russia

 

The aim of the research was secretion of group of high risk for development of bronchial asthma (BA) for babies of first three years of life, which was confirmed by conclusive medicine. There was lead multifactor analyze of result of 232 investigated children who have had first appearance of bronchial obstructive syndrome (BOS) during first three years of live and 420 children with bronchial asthma (BA). The clinical monitoring have consisted of 1-10 years. Receiving data was used as learning choice. Researching of this choice gave us an opportunity to construct conclusive function (matematical model) and allot from the total information most informative factors that help in transformation of BOS to BA (probability is 0,87). Using results of distant cathamnesis investigations of children with BOS and theoretic constructed conclusive rule of mathematical constructions were lead. Ranging of informative factors to 3 classes according to sign of probability of transformation BOS ! to BA allow us to produce the algorithm that supply quiet confident prognosis of distant BOS issues.

 
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